By Oriola A. Opeyemi
Since 2023, one question people keep asking me almost everywhere I go is this: who is likely to be the next governor of Nasarawa State in 2027? My answer has always been simple. It is still early. But if you pay attention to how politics works in this state, you will see that the signs are already there for those who know what to look for.
First, let us be honest with ourselves. The All Progressives Congress, APC remains firmly in control of the political structure of Nasarawa State. History has shown that whoever secures the APC governorship ticket usually goes into the general election with a very strong advantage. So in practical terms, the real contest may happen at the primary level, not necessarily at the general election.
Another issue that keeps coming up quietly in meetings and private conversations is zoning. Governor Abdullahi Sule is completing his second term from Nasarawa North. Naturally, many political actors are now arguing that power should rotate to Nasarawa West. Zoning may not be written anywhere officially, but in Nasarawa politics it influences decisions. It affects who declares, who steps back, and who negotiates.
When you look at the names being mentioned across the state, a few stand out. Senator Ahmed Aliyu Wadada is regularly discussed because of his political network, experience, and connections beyond the state. The Accountant-General, Dr. Musa Ahmed Mohammed (Baraden Nasarawa), is another name that keeps coming up in conversations. Those who know how power works in the state believe his experience inside government could work in his favour. Hon. Hassan Nalaraba has visible grassroots energy and ambition, although his position on zoning could shape how party leaders respond to him. Former Inspector General of Police, Mohammed Abubakar Adamu, is also being discussed in many circles, largely because of his national exposure and institutional experience. Dr. Faisal Shuaib is another name that comes up among those who are paying attention to policy driven and technocratic entrants. Beyond these, there are other quiet movements happening that may not yet be visible to the public.
One interesting angle is the positioning around the Deputy Governor, Dr. Emmanuel Akabe. On different occasions, Governor Sule has hinted that the person he may eventually support has not even started campaigning. At the same time, posters suggesting Akabe for Senate have already appeared in some places. Some see this as testing the waters. Others see it as strategic positioning. In Nasarawa politics, nothing is accidental, so serious observers are watching carefully.
We should also be realistic about the influence of an outgoing governor in Nasarawa. History has shown that sitting governors usually have a strong say in how succession plays out. If Governor Sule openly backs anyone, the political equation could change very quickly.
From experience, elections in Nasarawa are never decided by popularity alone. In reality, it is never just about who is trending on social media. Political structure, alliances, zoning conversations, party interests at the national level, funding strength, and real grassroots connection all matter. That is where elections are truly won or lost.
For now, the race is still open. What we are seeing is quiet consultation, alignment, and behind the scenes negotiations. As we move closer to the primaries, things will become clearer.
Nasarawa politics is entering a very interesting phase. As always, analysts like us will continue to observe carefully, read between the lines, and share informed insights as events unfold.